Texas Independence Day : It is the State of Texas on primary (and Texas Independence Day), the day that political junkies have circled on their calendars for a long time.
Governor race – on the marquee matchup of the day – was both more and less than expected. More in the sense that Gov. Rick Perry (R) We have a great performance and dramatically (admittedly low) expectations for him, and declared himself a candidate for the presidency if he wins today, then again in the fall. Least in the sense that Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison better today as a candidate had the first one and it has struggled to maintain a competitive contest over the past months.
However, at any time vote voters, and we learn things – especially in the electorate as turbulent as this one seems to be – about where we go in November.
Here is a look at some of the storylines to keep an eye on the vote that took place today – and beyond:
* There is a tea party for the Test: The Tea Party movement in the state of Texas as a strong, organized and efficient as in any country. Debra Medina and is a candidate of the ruling Movement of tea in the state and openly courted her supporters in an attempt to Governor underfunded. Medina was a rise in the polls – thanks in no small part, to voter discontent with the back and forth between Perry and Hutchison – but this upward path seems to be slowed in the wake of her comments, which seemed to suggest that September. September 11 terrorist attacks were inside jobs. (Perry, too, I have worked hard to woo the energy of Tea Partiers will enjoy some support among a segment of the group). Rightly or wrongly, and will take Medina, which turns out to be as a baseline for Tea Party movement in the country, and go higher, and the story will become the largest national race. Also keep an eye on Rep. Ron Paul in the main race. Although Paul is considered in many circles as a founding member of the Tea Party crowd, it faces many competitors primary affiliate directly with the movement. Care must be taken not to exaggerate how to read from Paul’s opponents get to vote, however. There is a certain segment of Republicans in his 14th, which makes the policy every two years to vote against it; Paul’s main rival in 2008 got 30 percent of the vote.
* The Metroplex: not a sort of political catastrophe and Hutchison only hope in the race to run strong enough to keep Perry under 50 percent. To do so, it must perform well in the provinces that are part of the Dallas Metroplex, which has long had a political base. The provinces to keep an eye on: Dallas, Tarrant, Collin and Denton. For comparison, Hutchison won by 84 percent in Collin County, 78 percent in Denton, and 69 percent in Tarrant, and 68 percent in Dallas in 1993, particularly from the second round of elections set win over Sen. Bob Krueger (D). If Perry Hutchison grabbed the margins in those five provinces, he may be headed toward the magic mark of 50 percent.
* WWKBHD (Is Kay Bailey Hutchison does not)? Hutchison even on the assumption that the day is near – this is the belief, even among ardent supporters – it will face a series of decisions frivolous. If Perry wins between 47 percent and 49 percent of the vote, there will be likely to be considerable pressure on the Hutchison concession to a six-week runoff will drain resources, and which he had little chance of winning. Hutchison will also immediately face questions about whether they will bring it promised to resign her seat. While she said she would step down or not, and got the nomination for governor, and there are significant uncertainties in the state of Texas, it will continue through at least two reasons. First, it would allow Texas law Perry to appoint a replacement for her until a special election – likely in November – could be held, a possibility for Hutchison trivial. Second, if Hutchison left public life immediately after what could be a resounding defeat today’s (or April 13), it strongly affects the legacy she almost certainly think of the same in Texas politics. If, on the other hand, worked out her Senate term – until 2012 – it will have some time to re-build the image was created prior to this race.
* LG race: Democrats to host a competitive primary battle for approval of the former vice-governor of Travis County (Austin) prosecutor Ronnie Earle and activist in the work of Linda Chavez Thompson. Strategists believe that Chavez Thompson win would give them the best possible ticket in the fall with the heritage of the Hispanic help push turnout to Bill White, former mayor of the city of Houston, at the top of the ticket. Hispanics continue to exercise more and more influence on politics in the state of Texas, but they are less powerful than the population numbers suggest that they should be. Light, who hails from East Texas, they have the opportunity he needed to base the Hispanic – particularly in the valley of the Rio Grande.
* Houston: Perry is already positioning to fight in the general election against white, and he wants to put a major victory in Harris County, which includes the city of Houston, to send a message to the Democratic Party. It’s probably not fair to compare Perry appears in a very contested and expensive primary for the House much less in a race to high-profile but strong performance of Perry in Houston would be seen as something of a shot across the bow, White and Houston (Houston media market (considered swing region in the November elections.
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